Who do you think will win the 2010 World Series?

Showing posts with label Texas Rangers. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Texas Rangers. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 27, 2010

MLB Playoff Picture 2010- World Series

by Mike Trovato


After six months of play, just two teams remain in the quest for greatness. The Texas Rangers and the San Francisco Giants were favored by no one coming into the playoffs, but both needed just six games to knock off the 2009 pennant winners from their respective leagues.

Tonight, the Rangers and Giants will play Game One of the 2010 World Series, and within the next ten days, only one will be left standing as Champions of Major League Baseball.

Texas Rangers
Texas handled the reigning World Champion New York Yankees on all fronts, out-pitching and outhitting the most productive lineup in baseball during the regular season. Slugging center fielder and MVP candidate Josh Hamilton hit .350 with a 1.000 slugging percentage, belting 4 homers and 7 RBI against New York to take the ALCS MVP honors. The Rangers clubbed 14 doubles against Yankee pitching, en route to a collective .304 average for the ALCS. A stellar performance by Colby Lewis the Game 6 clinched Texas' first World Series berth in franchise history. Lewis shut the Yankees down, whiffing 7 and allowing just 7 base runners through 8 innings of one-run ball. More importantly, the Rangers advanced without needing to throw Cliff Lee in a Game 7, meaning Ron Washington will throw his ace in Game 1 of the Fall Classic.

San Francisco Giants
In the NLCS, San Francisco's offense held its own against a Philadelphia Phillies rotation that was expected to silence the Giants' bats. Instead, it was the Phillies bats that were held in check by Giants pitching, managing just 3 home runs and a mere .214 team average against the young arms of Lincecum, Cain, Sanchez and Bumgarner. Though the Giants didn't hit all that well either, they received a boost from one of their mid-season acquisitions, outfielder Cody Ross. Ross accounted for 3 of the Giants' 4 home runs in the series, but two of them powered San Francisco past Phils ace Roy Halladay in Game 1. The 4-3 victory became the trademark for Bochy's squad, as three of their four victories came in one-run fashion, sealed up by flame-throwing closer Brian Wilson.

Analysis
Obviously, the way teams match up are a huge factor in how interesting a series can be. Some series are a matchup of two dominant offensive teams, other times a pitcher's duel seems eminent. But the stark contrasts in the way these two teams match up is what makes the 2010 World Series even more intriguing.

The Giants have not faced an offense as potent as that of the Texas Rangers all season long, playoffs or otherwise. Texas produced 787 runs and hit .276 as a team during the season, and is averaging nearly 5.4 runs per game this postseason, including 38 runs against the Yankees. On the other hand, the Rangers have not faced a pitching staff as dominant as the Giants pitching staff. San Francisco owned a 3.36 team ERA, the lowest in baseball this season, and only the Atlanta Braves had a lower ERA than San Francisco's 2.37 throughout the postseason.

Offensively, the Giants have remained consistent with their regular season output, and actually tallied a lower team average than they did during the season. For that reason, San Francisco may have less to fall back on, as their pitching is by far their main strength. Yet, that was the case in the NLCS, against a better pitching staff than Texas, yet they still managed a win against Roy Halladay.

What may prove to be a deciding factor is the Rangers pitching. Texas has overachieved against what is supposed to be "elite" competition during the playoffs, with ERAs and opponent batting averages significantly lower than what they were during the course of the regular season. The Rangers bullpen was strong as well, as their relievers held a solid 2.25 ERA against the Yankees. That said, Texas may be able to rely on their pitching to get them through, should their hitting falter. Another interesting foot note is that Texas will have to field Vladimir Guerrero while playing by National League rules at AT&T Park. Interestingly enough, the pitching matchups may offset the defensive drop-off, as the Rangers will throw Lee and C.J. Wilson, two lefties, in Games 1 and 2.

Prediction
Texas by far has the better hitting and is much better on the base paths than the Giants are. Although, so were the Giants' last opponents, and things turned out alright for them so far. The starters between Lee and Lincecum's projected starts can go either way, though I do like Cain, but it can't be ignored that the Giants have not faced a well-rested Cliff Lee. Despite his regular season numbers, Lee is a bona fide force on the mound in playoff baseball, with a career 7-0 postseason record and 1.26 ERA, including two World Series victories in 2009. It would be very difficult to see the Giants having much success should they have to face Lee three times, in the event of a Game 7, though I don't think it will go that far.

Rangers defeat Giants, 4 games to 2

Friday, October 15, 2010

MLB Playoff Picture 2010- American League Championship Series

by Mike Trovato

American League Championship Series


New York Yankees (5-67) vs. Texas Rangers (90-72)
def. MIN 3-0 in ALDS def. TB 3-2 in ALDS




Texas Rangers

For a team known better for its offense during the regular season, the Texas Rangers pitching has been a pleasant surprise during the 2010 postseason thus far. The mid-season acquisition of Cliff Lee was clearly made with October (and November) in mind. As much as he struggled during the second half of the regular season, come October, Lee delivers. Leading a talented staff of young arms, the southpaw continued his postseason dominance in the ALDS, mowing through the Tampa Bay Rays lineup. Lee compiled an incredible 21 strikeouts to no walks (that's right, no walks), to the tune of a 1.14 ERA. Manager Ron Washington will turn to Lee in Game 3, again on the road, as he won both starts in Tampa Bay.

As for the offense, the Rangers clobbered 8 home runs in the first round, led by Nelson Cruz and Ian Kinsler's 3 apiece, and with little help from their MVP candidate Josh Hamilton. Hamilton clearly showed signs of rust against Tampa Bay, having missed 24 straight games with a rib injury in September. The Rangers were the beneficiary of 5 Rays fielding errors in round one, taking advantage of the miscues with aggressive and alert base running. The Yankees, however, are much better defensively, having made no errors in their sweep of Minnesota. Therefore, Texas will need more production from the bats of Hamilton, Vladimir Guerrero and Michael Young if they intend to compete; the talented trio went a combined 10-for-57 (.175 BA) against the Rays in the ALDS.

New York Yankees
The reigning World Champions continued their ownership of the Twins, completing yet another playoff sweep in extending their playoff streak against Minnesota to 9 games. Last year's stars (Jeter, Cano, Teixeira, A-Rod and Swisher) did their job in the ALDS, but it was new Yankees Curtis Granderson and Lance Berkman who stepped up big. In just 11 at-bats, the "Grandy Man" knocked 5 hits and drove in 3 runs, while Berkman went 2-for-4 with 2 RBI, the second of which gave New York the go-ahead run in Game 2.

The Yankees bats did as much to produce runs as their pitching did to prevent them, as the Bombers outscored the Twins 17-7 in the series. Ace C.C. Sabathia actually had the worst outing of the three Yankee starters, surrendering 4 runs in Game 1. Andy Pettitte and Phil Hughes tossed 7 innings apiece, Hughes doing so while shutting out the already suffocating Twins offense in the clinching Game 3. The bullpen was just as spectacular, as Kerry Wood allowed the lone run given up by Yankees relief. As usual, Mariano Rivera closed the door for the final two wins.


Analysis
The common perception seems to be that Texas is at a disadvantage before even stepping on the field, as Cliff Lee won't pitch until Game 3. However, the Rangers playoff rotation posted a 1.17 ERA, and although those numbers are somewhat Lee-heavy, neither C.J. Wilson nor Colby Lewis allowed a run in their respective LDS starts. While matching up against Sabathia is no easy task for C.J. Wilson, C.C. wasn't exactly sharp pitching on 7 days rest in Minnesota, and now he will go on 8 days rest to kick off the ALCS. Needless to say, Wilson stands a fighting chance, and if he delivers, the Rangers could very well find themselves up 2-1 after Lee's start on Monday, and heading into a matchup with the erratic A.J. Burnett in Game 4.

Bengie Molina will need to squeeze everything he can out of those young arms with his pitch calling behind the plate. Conversely, the Yankees must strive to reach the Rangers bullpen. Should New York successfully drive the Rangers young starters out of Games 1 and 2 early, that could spell trouble for Texas. The Rangers bullpen performance against Tampa Bay was a stark contrast to that of its starting pitching. In 13.1 innings of work, Texas "relief" was anything but, allowing 21 base runners (16 hits, 5 walks), of which 8 crossed home plate, for a bloated 5.27 ERA.

Texas must get on base at a much higher rate, as the Yankees team batting average (.314) was higher than the Rangers team on-base percentage (.286) in round one. Given New York's flawless defense, getting on base by their own production is a must for Texas. The Rangers offense will be their best defense, and the longer they can hold off from using their bullpen, the better.

Prediction
The Rangers are certainly capable of putting up a fight, and with A.J. Burnett going in Game 4, Game 1 could prove pivotal, because the last thing the Yankees want is for this series to go 7, where they would likely draw Cliff Lee. Still, if there's one thing the Yankees do well, it's running up the pitch counts, which easily could be the difference maker in the outcome in this series. Wilson, Lewis and Tommy Hunter all surpassed their previous innings pitched totals this season, and Wilson (+137.0 IP) and Lewis (+79.0 IP) shattered their previous single-season highs. That said, Ron Washington may very well be forced to rely on a bullpen that blew up against a scuffling Rays lineup that in no way matches the potency of the lineup Joe Girardi will field.

Yankees defeat Rangers, 4 games to 2

Wednesday, October 6, 2010

MLB Playoff Picture 2010- Division Series

by Mike Trovato

On the eve of the Major League Baseball playoffs (and by the time this post goes up, it won't be the eve any more), I figure it's only appropriate to make some predictions. So, here it goes...

American League Division Series


Texas Rangers (90-72) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (96-66)





Texas Rangers

The revival of Vladamir Guerrero's career, along with Rangers' slugging center fielder Josh Hamilton helped Texas ran away with the AL West. Despite a streaky September in which the Rangers compiled a 5-game losing streak and a 7-game winning streak in succession, Texas still finished 9 games ahead of second place Oakland. Hamilton missed a month of action before making his return to the lineup for the final regular season series, going 3-for-11 with a home run and 3 RBI, his 100th of the season. Hamilton finished the year with a ML-best .359 average, never dipping below .340 after July 4th.

Key Mid-season Acquisitions: SP Cliff Lee, C Bengie Molina,
RF Jeff Francoeur, IF/OF Christian Guzman, IF Jorge Cantu

Tampa Bay Rays
Overview: Fueled by the arm of Cy Young candidate David Price, the Rays take the American League's best record into this year's postseason despite backing their way into the AL East title over the Yankees. Tampa Bay finished 13-14 over their final 27 games, averaging a mere 2.0 runs over their last 8 contests. Third Baseman Evan Longoria, the Rays leader in doubles, RBI and OPS, has msised the final 10 games with a quad injury, and will not be at full strength for the ALDS opener.

Mid-season Acquisitions: RP Chad Qualls, OF Brad Hawpe


Head-to-Head in 2010: Tampa won the season series between the two clubs 4-2, outscoring Texas 24-11 in their 3 game sweep of the Rangers back in August. Matt Garza racked up wins in both series, logging 14 strikeouts and a 1.03 WHIP over 12.2 total innings.

Prediction: The Rangers can hit, and led all of baseball with a .276 team Batting Average. If their pitching comes through, the Rays and their paltry .247 BA may struggle to produce, especially if Evan Longoria shows signs of rust. With C.J. Wilson's sub-3.00 road ERA and Tampa slated to throw the struggling James Shields in Game 2, the Rangers could find themselves in position to sting the Rays in Arlington, where they were 51-30 on their turf. Yet, I still figure the teams will trade wins, and the series will come down to Cliff Lee and David Price in a Game 5 scenario. Lee has been shaky since joining Texas in July, but his performance in the 2009 postseason makes him a big game lock until proven otherwise, which will be the difference.

Rangers defeat Rays, 3 games to 2




New York Yankees (95-67) vs. Minnesota Twins (94-68)




New York Yankees

Overview: C.C. Sabathia finished 2010 at 21-7, tied for the Major League lead in victories. Of course, it doesn't hurt when your offense smashes the third highest home run total in the league. The Bombers slugged 201 dingers, propelling them to the most runs scored (859) of any team in the majors by far. Alex Rodriguez, despite his lowest OBP and SLG output since 1997 and a career low .270 full-season batting average, posted his 13th consecutive 30 HR-100 RBI season. Along with Mark Teixeira and Robinson Cano, the trio of infielders combined for the most run production of any three teammates in baseball. Curtis Granderson came on strong in September to finish out the year with 24 round-trippers.

Key Mid-Season Acquisitions: 1B Lance Berkman, OF Austin Kearns, RP Kerry Wood...
It's worth nothing that Kerry Wood has been lights out since joining the Yankees at the trading deadline, posting a 0.69 ERA over 26 innings. Wood's 10 holds are the highest among any Yankees reliever since he was acquired from Cleveland.

Minnesota Twins

Overview: The Twins seem to be one of the best franchises top to bottom in all of baseball. Their current starting lineup consists of 5 home-grown players- Michael Cuddyer, Jason Kubel, Joe Mauer, Denard Span and Danny Valencia-, and that doesn't include Justin Morneau, who will miss the entire 2010 postseason. The Twins pitching staff is littered with Twins draftees: Scott Baker, Nick Blackburn, Alex Burnett, Jesse Crain, Brian Duensing, Jeff Manship, Pat Neshek, Glen Perkins and Kevin Slowey. Needless to say, year in and year out, they put a winning product on the field. 2010 was no different, as the Twins were second in baseball in OBP (.341) and triples (41), third in the league in team batting (.273) and doubles (318), and second in the American League in fewest errors committed (78) and fielding percentage (.987). In typical Twins fashion, the whole was greater than the sum of its parts, as Minnesota had a different leader for every major statistical offensive category:
  • Runs Scored- Michael Cuddyer (93)
  • Batting Average- Joe Mauer (.327)
  • Home Runs- Jim Thome (25)
  • Runs Batted In- Delmon Young (112)
  • Stolen Bases- Denard Span (26)
Key Mid-Season Acquisitions: CL Matt Capps, RP Brian Fuentes

Head-to-Head in 2010: New York took 2 of 3 in each set between the two clubs this season, despite only outscoring the Twins 24-21 over the six games. In the three games at Target Field, however, Minnesota held the Yankees to just 6 runs, which may be a factor given that the Twins have home field advantage. Andy Pettitte picked up two of the four Yankee victories against Minnesota in May.

Prediction: The Twins finally have the home field advantage in the playoffs for a change, which bodes well for them since they have best home record in baseball (53-28). What does not bode well for them is that they once again drawn their kryptonite, the New York Yankees. The Yankees have knocked Minnesota out of three of their previous four postseason appearances, including a three game sweep in the 2009 ALDS. Minnesota won't get swept again, and their left-handed pitching may throw off the reigning World Champs. Andy Pettitte's health is in question, and could be crucial should the series require a Game 5, but it probably won't go that far. The Twins should be able to pull out a win, but if the Yankees opt to throw Sabathia up 2-1, that will be about all.

Yankees defeat Twins, 3 games to 1


National League Division Series



Cincinnati Reds (91-71) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (97-65)




Cincinnati Reds

Overview: The Reds have fought their way back into the playoffs after a 15 year hiatus. With leadership from Scott Rolen, Orlando Cabrera and Bronson Arroyo, the Reds have a mix of seasoned veterans to go along with their emerging young core of Joey Votto, Brandon Phillips, Johnny Cueto and Edinson Volquez. Cincinnati has been an offensive jugggernaut, leading ann National League teams in team batting (.271), slugging (.436), OPS (.774), home runs (188) and run production (790). Votto, top-3 in every triple crown category, has been an absolute monster, leading the team in virtually every offensive statistic except triples: 106 runs, 177 hits, 36 doubles, 37 home runs, 113 RBI, 328 total bases, 91 walks, .324 BA, .424 OBP, .600 SLG. He even swiped 16 stolen bases, tying him for second on the team. The question for the Reds lies in their bullpen, where closer Francisco Cordero blew 8 save attempts, and it's possible that Dusty Baker could turn to the flame-throwing Aroldis Chapman and his 105 MPH fastball in save situations.


Philadelphia Phillies

Overview: The Phillies have been the cream of the crop in Major League Baseball over the past three seasons. With a veteran core already full of postseason experience, Philadelphia added not one but two aces (and Roys) to their pitching rotation. Collectively for the Phillies, Halladay and Oswalt compiled a combined 28-11 record, 2.27 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 10 complete games, 5 shutouts, and one perfect game. All this with Oswalt having been on another team for the first four months of the season. Those numbers make Cole Hamels' 12-11, 3.06, 1.18- respectable numbers indeed- seem like that of a minor league prospect.

With a plethora of injuries to their starting position players, only 5 Phillies appeared in over 120 games. Of their eight opening day starters, only Jayson Werth and Raul Ibanez avoided the disabled list. Still, the Phillies operated like a well-oiled machine. On the morning of July 8th, Philadelphia sat in third place, just three games over .500 at 43-40. From that point on, the Phils went 54-25, overcoming what was at its height a 7-game deficit to overtake the National League East for the fourth straight season.


Prediction: The Reds may be a feisty bunch, and have a lot to look forward to going forward. Unfortunately for them, the Phillies are capable of winning a slugfest as well as a pitcher's duel. Philadelphia amassed 21 wins in September, and in those 21 wins, H2O took 13 while the offense pushed 130 runs across home plate. Let's err on the side of logic, given that the Reds will face the most dominant threesome of starting pitching in baseball. Even if Cincy's top-ranked run-producing offense can manage putting some numbers on the board, their pitching will be no match for a Phillies offense that ranked right behind them.

Phillies defeat Reds, 3 games to 1


I should get to the Braves and Giants before the series starts on Friday, but in case I don't, I'll go with the Giants... Stay tuned.

Monday, October 4, 2010

Ball Drops on Minaya & Manuel as Mets Drop the Ball

by Mike Trovato

Since the early 1900's, it has been a New York tradition to ring in the changing of the calendar year by gathering together to watch the dropping of the ball. Over 100 years later, certain inhabitants of the Big Apple are honoring the age-old tradition in their own unique way.

Replace a bitter cold Times Square with mild air wafting throughout Citi Field, the excitement of a dense Broadway crowd with the solemness of sparsely scattered die-hards rushing the countdown as the Mets said goodbye to 2010 in the spirit of New York- dropping the ball.

Over their last five games of the season the Mets did just that, committing six fielding errors as the final home stand of 2010 adequately represented some of the glaring shortcomings of the past few years. Some poor fielding, the ever-present injury bug, and a pinch of Oliver Perez.

The errors were only part of the scene during the final handful of games. Though the Mets did manage to score 19 runs in that span, 14 of them came in two 7-run productions, with the remaining five runs scattered among the other three games. Without the help of Carlos Beltran, who was once again on the shelf with mild inflammation in his surgically repaired knee, the Mets stranded 37 men on the base paths, including 10 in Sunday's 14-inning defeat at the hands of the perennial cellar-dwelling Washington Nationals. And to add insult to injury, what better way to close things out than with a vintage Ollie P performance?
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In just his fourth appearance since August 1st, Perez issued more free passes than a middle school hall monitor, hitting Adam Kennedy, then walking the bases loaded before sending Jason Maxwell to first with the easiest game-winning RBI he'll ever have. Only then did Jerry Manuel pull the plug, and Perez trudged off the field to the familiar chorus of boos, as Mets fans got one last reminder of exactly why he was the the Kevin McCallister of the Mets bullpen. Frankly, he might as well just have stayed home.

The Mets went quietly in the bottom of the 14th, and that was that.

2010 is officially over.

Not literally, but as far as the New York Mets are concerned, welcome to 2011. Because the 2010 season was a "last" year in many, many ways.

We've heard the last of Omar Minaya's promises, the last of his disjointed statements to the media. We've seen the last of his roster maneuvers, along with the last of his non-maneuvers. We've shared the last of Jerry Manuel's warm laughs, and empathizing with the last of his stressed-out groans, trying to justify the unjustifiable.
http://cmsimg.detnews.com/apps/pbcsi.dll/bilde?Site=C3&Date=20100814&Category=SPORTS0104&ArtNo=8140351&Ref=AR
To assign all the blame to these two men would be totally unfair. I like Jerry Manuel, I really do. And although he was often criticized for his lack of fire and questionable managerial decisions, Manuel deserves credit for a 55-38 finish in 2008, reviving the Mets season after replacing Willie Randolph. Likewise, credit Omar Minaya for a number of seemingly forgotten great moves over the years. Tally up the acquisitions, draft picks and free agent signings. Tally up the Johan Santanas, the Mike Pelfreys, Jon Nieses and Josh Tholes. Chalk up the Angel Pagans, R.A. Dickeys and Hisanori Takahashis, all players that made major contributions in 2010.

Good moves and bad moves aside, when all was said and done, the bottom line remains that a General Manager and Manager are not measured by the moves they make, but whether or not those moves translate into one thing and one thing only: winning. And the Mets have won virtually nothing. No World Series, no National League pennants, and just one NL East crown.

Minaya and Manuel dropped the ball, and the ball had dropped on the New York Mets. Now it's time to turn the page. Time to face the music.

Happy New Year.


Looking Back

Looking back at a 2010 full of lasts, without mentioning any names, let's hope for a few more lasts...
http://blogs.suntimes.com/sportsprose/2009/06/video_luis_castillos_error_giv.html
Let's hope that we've seen the last of the unnecessarily massive contracts for sub-.500 pitchers or 32 year-old second basemen past their prime. No more number forty-sixes in blue and orange, whose selfishness and unwillingness to do so much as to try to straighten himself out in the minor leagues left the poor manager an arm short in the bullpen day in and day out. No more embarrassing dropped pop-ups against those cross-town rivals.

Let's hope that we've seen the last of the disconnect and lack of communication between players, coaches and front office personnel. No more tirades by development personnel directed at players, Major Leaguers or minor leaguers, shirtless or otherwise. No more surprise off-season surgeries and the he-said, he-said as to whether or not they were sanctioned by the team.

Let's hope that we've endured the last of trying to stay afloat until the regulars return. No more medical mishaps, no more pushing back onto the field the clearly injured, just to further clarify the realness and severity of their injuries. No more sitting on our hands like we've done enough, when clearly more needs to be done. No more of the "we can compete
if" this or that. No more second half collapses. No more negativity.

Instead, let's make some resolutions for 2011. In fact, let's make just one. From this point on, let's not just say we want the New York Mets to be a winning franchise, let's operate like one.


Looking Forward

If you look at the eight teams in this year's playoffs, only two of them have a payroll of over $140 million. Perhaps it's no coincidence that those two teams- the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Yankees- were adversaries in the 2009 World Series. But the remaining three quarters of those teams made the postseason having spent under $100M, which just goes to show that money doesn't necessarily buy you a playoff berth.

The Cincinnati Reds ($68.2M) locked up the NL Central spending half of what the Mets ($136M) spent this year, and the Texas Rangers ($55.2M) bought their playoff champagne with the extra money the 5th-lowest payroll in baseball afforded them.

And then there's the Minnesota Twins. With a payroll of just over $90 million, the Twins are a perfect example of how a franchise should be run, and in 2010 they secured their 6
th AL Central title in the last ten years. Minnesota has put together the right combination of affordable talent year in and year out for a decade, proving that it's not how much money you spend, but how you spend the money.



Since 2001, the
Mets have reached the playoffs as many times as Minnesota has finished under .500- once. Yes, the Mets recent record book is quite the contrast to that of the Twins, and I'd say it's time to take a page out of a different book. Perhaps it's time for the Wilpons to re-evaluate how they will allow their front office to operate.
http://phoenix.fanster.com/files/2010/09/kevintowers01.jpg
Newly appointed GM of the Arizona Diamondbacks, Kevin Towers would have been an ideal candidate for the Mets. Having assembled most of the San Diego Padres team that nearly stole the NL West this year, Towers worked with roughly half the budget that Omar Minaya had in New York. Although he was not there to see his work come to fruition, the Padres team that held onto first place until the very last week of the season had Towers' stamp all over it. Now, with Towers gone to Arizona, the Wilpons will have to look elsewhere.

The New York Mets are by no means a small market team. They are going to spend money, we know this. But how about a resolution be a bit more cautious about how and when that money is doled out, while developing a consistency that can change the perception of being those "same old Mets."

The Mets have always been in the colossal shadow of the New York Yankees, and seem to have spent money to show their fans that they can keep up. Clearly, this hasn't worked. Whether or not that has been their motivation is not for me to say, and the Wilpons have never said so either. What they did say on Monday, however, was that they're looking for a GM with a fresh perspective.

Here's a fresh perspective:


Omar Minaya spent each winter making his biggest moves- Pedro, Beltran, Wagner, Delgado, Santana, Putz, K-Rod and Bay were all signed between seasons. Yet, Minaya never pulled the trigger on any major mid-season trades to put the Mets over the top.
http://www.sportsnet.ca/baseball/2010/08/22/oswalt_roy_big_381.jpg
On the other hand, the Philadelphia Phillies have made their biggest moves not just between seasons, but during them as well. The four-time reigning NL East Champs and two-time reigning National League pennant winners have ridden, and will presumably ride, their winter signings to the playoffs- Lidge in '08, Halladay in '10. But it's the players they've traded for mid-season that will help carry them through the playoffs- Cliff Lee in '09, Oswalt in '10.

And it's not just the Phillies, either. Cliff Lee was a trading deadline pawn for the second straight year, and was one of several players the Rangers added in the midst of their playoff surge, along with NL East castoffs Christian Guzman (Nationals), Jorge Cantu (Marlins) and Jeff Francoeur (Mets). The San Francisco Giants revamped their entire outfield, adding Jose Guillen (Royals), Cody Ross (Marlins) and Pat Burrell (Rays) to their roster over the summer. The Braves traded for Derek Lee (Cubs) in August, while the Yankees picked up Lance Berkman (Astros) and Kerry Wood (Indians), who a key cog in their bullpen down the stretch. And those Twins. Minnesota bolstered their bullpen by trading for Matt Capps (Nationals) and Brian Fuentes (Angels). The common thread- all of these teams are in the playoffs, and it's not by accident that they got there.

So, new Mets GM, whoever you will be, please be tactful. You can do a lot in the off-season with $100 million. Just because you have $140 million to work with, that doesn't mean you have to spend it all before April. The Minaya Mets were thin in the wallet come July, and it cost them. If you put the right pieces in place between October and March, not the most expensive, you can make adjustments along the way.

Many, if not most or all teams would kill to have $40 million to play with at the trade deadline. Be that team, the one that instead of waiting for reinforcements to come back from injury to stay afloat, brings in their own reinforcements voluntarily.


Fred, Jeff. Don't ask the GM and Manager to be the source of excitement. Ask them to be the architects for it. If you want to re-energize the fan base, there's only one way to do it, on the field by winning games. Period.

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

World Series Preview:
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Yankees

by Mike Trovato

2009 World Series
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Yankees








http://dealbreaker.com/2009/09/03/new_yankee_stadium.jpg
The stage is set for the 2009 World Series. After four days of waiting after clinching their second consecutive National League pennant, the Philadelphia Phillies finally have a World Series opponent, the $208 million New York Yankees. The Series begins Wednesday night at the brand new Yankee Stadium.

That $208 million number is not an exaggeration, in fact it's an understatement. In typical Steinbrenner fashion, the Yankees 2009 payroll totaled an astronomical $208,097,414. That's more than the Pittsburgh Pirates, Florida Marlins, San Diego Padres and Oakland A's combined, more than the combined salaries of the Twins and Angels, the two teams the Bronx Bombers beat en route to their 40th World Series appearance.

Although a Yankees-Dodgers World Series would have been ratings friendly- the underlying Joe Torre/Manny Ramirez storyline, not to mention the storied history between the two franchises- the Philly-New York tilt has its own intrigue.

Historically, there are many differences between these two clubs. On the surface, the mascotless, overpaid Yankees with their clean-shaven babyfaces, their nameless jersey backs are the embodiment of class and tradition, or, depending on your perspective, pomp and arrogance. The Phillies are a cockier bunch, calling out division rivals in the preseason and making flat out predictions on television, but backing it up on the field, all while their mascot disrespects stereotypes of opponents between innings. Each team has their legendary voices. Derek Jeter is introduced by a recording of Bob Sheppard, the only Yankee who actively honors the voice of the Yankees. The Phillies hang a suit worn by the late Harry Kalas in their dugout during every game, and have an HK decal on the left-center field wall at Citizens Bank Park.

Beneath the surface, the way they go about their business sets them apart, and historically that shows as well. The New York Yankees are the winningest franchise in the history Major League Baseball, both in terms of championships and winning percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies, on the other hand, have the worst winning percentage of any franchise, discounting two younger clubs- the Tampa Bay Rays (1998) and Texas Rangers (1961). Yet, in all that separates the Phils from the Yanks, the similarities between them- their fans, their fields, and their play on those fields- cannot be denied.

True fans from both New York and Philadelphia are outspoken die-hards whose passion is unmatched by fans from any other baseball town. No matter how small the confines of Citizens Bank Park or New Yankee Stadium are, the fans came without fail; only the Dodgers put more local bodies in the hometown seats in 2009. The teams they came to see did not disappoint either, both winning their respective divisions, both leading their respective leagues in home runs, extra base hits, and slugging. Perhaps it's only fitting then that the defending champion Phillies are looking to become the first team to win back-to-back World Series since who else? The New York Yankees.

The similarities don't end there. In fact, there is an eerie similarity between the individual performances this season. Here's how the Phillies and Yankees match up stastistically:
PHI 1B Ryan Howard- .279 BA, 45 HR, 144 RBI, .931 OPS
NYY 1B Mark Teixeira- .292 BA, 39 HR, 122 RBI, .948 OPS


PHI- 2B Chase Utley- .282 BA, 31 HR, 93 RBI, .508 SLG
NYY- 2B Robinson Cano-.320 BA, 25 HR, 85 RBI, .509 SLG

PHI- SS Jimmy Rollins- 100 R, 21 HR, 77 RBI, 31 SB
NYY- SS Derek Jeter- 107 R, 18 HR, 66 RBI, 30 SB

PHI- RF Jayson Werth- 36 HR, 99 RBI, 20 SB
NYY- 3B Alex Rodriguez- 30 HR, 100 RBI, 14 SB

PHI- LF Raul Ibanez- .272 BA, 34 HR, 93 RBI

NYY- DH Hideki Matsui- .274 BA, 28 HR, 90 RBI


PHI- SP Cliff Lee- 7-4, 3.39 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 8.4 K/9, 0.8 HR/9

NYY- SP C.C. Sabathia- 19-8, 3.37 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 7.7 K/9, 0.7 HR/9


PHI- SP Joe Blanton- 12-8, 4.05 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 30 HR allowed

NYY- SP A.J. Burnett- 13-9, 4.04 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 25 HR allowed


Phillies- 119 Stolen Bases, 81% Stealing, .987 Fielding Pct.

Yankees- 111 Stolen Bases, 80% Stealing, .985 Fielding Pct.

The Phillies led the Majors with 116 home runs on the road. The Yankees were second, with 108.
The Yankees hit 55.7% (136) of their 244 home runs at home.

Phillies Bullpen- 3.91 ERA, 1.38 WHIP
Yankees Bullpen- 3.91 ERA, 1.25 WHIP

http://www.sportingnews.com/mlb/article/2009-10-22/marino-rivera-ryan-franklin-named-sporting-news-2009-relievers-year
The knock on the Phillies throughout the regular season and into the postseason has been their "weak" bullpen. However, in looking at the numbers it appears that the Philadelphia bullpen, though not what it was last year, is not as bad as people think. Many will point to the Phillies' blown saves, Mariano Rivera (right), likely the best closer ever to play the game, converted a remarkable 44 of 46 save opportunities, while Brad Lidge was the polar opposite of his perfect 2008 stats, blowing 10 saves with a 7.21 ERA. On the season, the Yankees blew just 15 saves to Philadelphia's 22, but New York's relievers led the majors allowing a whopping 72 home runs to the Phillies' 46.

Head-to-head this season, the Phillies took 2 out of 3 games from the Yankees in New York, which is impressive given the Bombers outstanding 57-24 home record. More impressive was th "troubled" Phils' bullpen, which without Brad Lidge's numbers was perfect, allowing 0 runs and just 5 base runners in 7 innings. Lidge was the lone disaster, giving up 4 earned runs in 1.1 innings of work, 3 of which came in a blown save that gave the Yankees their only win of the series.

Many analysts give the Yankees starting pitching the edge for the Fall Classic, but if the 3-game regular season series is any indicator, they may want to re-crunch those numbers. The Phillies faced New York's top 3 arms- Sabathia, Burnett and Pettitte- during the regular season, tagging them for a total of 12 runs in 21 innings. Philly put 26 men on base against the $37 million worth of Bombers starters, including 10 in 6 innings against A.J. Burnett. The Phillies 3 starters- Hamels, Happ and Myers- walked a grand total of 0 Yankees, yielding 20 hits in 20 innings for a collective WHIP of 1.00.
http://lasemanadeportiva.com/semana/uploads/noticias/images/item/pedro-martinez-phillies.jpg
Granted, when the Phillies came to Yankee Stadium back in May, things were very different. The Yankees were in third place, a game and a half beind the first place Toronto Blue Jays, while the Phillies held just a 1.5 game lead over the second place New York Mets. The Yankees ended the regular season on an absolute tear, winning over 70 percent of their games (52-22) after the All-Star Break, and didn't lose more than 9 games in any month after June. The Phillies were not quite as hot, but made several huge acquisitions over the summer, trading for the reigning American League Cy Young Award Winner Cliff Lee and signing Pedro Martinez (left) at the bargain bin price of $1 million.

Both Lee and Martinez have been brilliant in Philadelphia; Lee contributed three complete games with a ridiculous 74 to 10 strikeout to walk ratio, posting a 7-4 record with his new club. Martinez, a 3-time Cy Young Award Winner, went 5-1 with a 3.63 ERA in 9 starts for the Phils, were the only team willing to take a chance on him. That chance has paid massive dividends, adding not just depth, but quality depth to the Phillies pitching staff, along with a terrific presence in the clubhouse. After being unsigned for half the year, Martinez now finds himself back at the top of a World Series rotation, and will start Game 2 on Thursday for Philadelphia.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/cifamerica/poll/2009/oct/28/yankees-phillies-world-series-baseball
Both teams have their aces. The Yankees have Mariano Rivera and Derek Jeter (right). The Phillies have their own solid home-grown nucleus. Mark Teixeira and Nick Swisher, two Yankee catalysts during the regular season, have struggled in the postseason. The same goes for the Phillies Raul Ibanez and Jimmy Rollins. Center fielders Melky Cabrera (.314, 4 RBI) and Shane Victorino (.361, 3 HR, 7 RBI) have been spectacular. Ryan Howard (.355, 2 HR, 14 RBI) has been on a tear throughout the playoffs. Alex Rodriguez (.438 5 HR, 12 RBI) has been even hotter, breaking his career-long October slump. In all of the fanfare surrounding those stars, perhaps the most overlooked player on either side has been Phillies catcher Carlos Ruiz. Ruiz has batted .346 with 7 runs batter in, adding 7 walks for an absurd on-base percentage of .500. Only A-Rod has reached base at a higher rate (.548).

So, when the question "Who will win this year's World Series?" arises, the response is about as hard to determine as it is for a Mets fan to determine which to root for without jumping off of the Brooklyn Bridge. Here's how I see it playing out:

Game 1: Cliff Lee vs. C.C. Sabathia- A faceoff between the last two AL Cy Young Award Winners is a fitting way to kick off the 2009 World Series. The Phillies haven't played in a week, and while I think the rest will does well for Cliff Lee's arm, the Phillies bats may have a bit of waking up to do. C.C. gets the better of his former Indians teammate.
Yankees (1-0 NYY)

Game 2: Pedro Martinez vs. A.J. Burnett- Martinez returns to the "Who's your daddy?" chants at Yankee Stadium, and relishes in it. Since losing his father, Pedro has been brilliant, and is again brilliant in Game 2. Burnett struggles and with Molina in the lineup, Posada or Matsui get the short end of the stick.
Phillies (1-1)

Game 3: Andy Pettitte vs. Cole Hamels- Hamels, he 2008 World Series MVP, has had a down year. The trip back to the Fall Classic may rejuvenate him, but Pettitte has had a solid postseason and pitches better in 6+ innings here. However, anything less than 7 innings means Joba Chamberlain or Phil Hughes, spelling a come from behind Phillies rally, a pivotal turn in the series.
Phillies (2-1 PHI)

Game 4: TBA, Sabathia vs. Lee- Down 2-1, Girardi takes no chances and turns to C.C., while Manuel retaliates with Lee. This time around the Phillies bats are alive and well, and Lee outshines the Yankees ace in Philadelphia.
Phillies (3-1)

Game 5: TBA, Burnett vs. Happ- As much as I'm inclined to think the Phillies would like to stick to their order and follow Lee with Martinez, I believe Charlie Manuel will throw lefty J.A. Happ at home, preserving Martinez for a more pressure-filled road start, if necessary. I do like Happ, but I can't see the Yankees going down yet, not without more of a fight.
Yankees (3-2 PHI)

Game 6: TBA, Martinez vs. Pettitte- To go against Pettitte at Yankee Stadium seems crazy. To think Pedro Martinez will win 2 games on the road may be just as crazy. Call me crazy.
Phillies (4-2)

Phillies in 6
World Series MVP: Pedro Martinez

Who do you think will win the 2010 World Series?

Who will win the 2010 NLCS?

Who will win the 2010 ALCS?

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